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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 January 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 24
  5. 26
  6. 37
  7. 6

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 114 of 1,356 under them

← 2013-12-28All recent draws2014-01-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 14 16 24 26 37 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 January 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

1216times
1413times
1615times
2416times
26

Prize breakdown · 2014-01-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 47k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 207lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$623.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$611.3K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$669.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
3711times

Every number was expected about that many times after 113 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 26, 37) with the draw of 23 November 2013 — its closest relative in 113 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2013): 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 15 by chanceNZ$20,899
  • Match 5480≈ 498 by chanceNZ$634
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,335≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 418,328≈ 20k by chanceNZ$34.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,580≈ 27k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 18,328 winners, 8% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$20,899
    Match 5480NZ$634
    Match 4 + Bonus1,335NZ$54.00
    Match 418,328NZ$34.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,580NZ$23.00