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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 September 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 17
  4. 18
  5. 21
  6. 26
  7. 10

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 99 of 1,355 under them

← 2013-09-14All recent draws2013-09-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 17 18 21 26 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

615times
817times
1713times
1816times
21

Prize breakdown · 2013-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$5.0Mto 79k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 68 winnerschance said 4.2

Where the money went

  • Match 640%NZ$2.0M
  • Match 420%NZ$988.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus19%NZ$967.9K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 68≈ 4.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
2613times

Every number was expected about that many times after 98 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 17, 18) with the draw of 25 August 2012 — its closest relative in 98 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 25 by chanceNZ$21,897
  • Match 5760≈ 825 by chanceNZ$629
  • Match 4 + Bonus2,048≈ 2.1k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 431,890≈ 33k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus43,994≈ 44k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 760 winners, 8% fewer than the 825 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 68NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$21,897
    Match 5760NZ$629
    Match 4 + Bonus2,048NZ$56.00
    Match 431,890NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus43,994NZ$22.00