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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 September 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 19
  5. 30
  6. 31
  7. 23

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 98 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-09-07All recent draws2013-09-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 11 19 30 31 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 September 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd79th
  • low79th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

217times
512times
1113times
1916times
30

Prize breakdown · 2013-09-14

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.6Mto 67k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 3.5

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$405.6K
  • Match 433%NZ$841.8K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$817.5K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$485.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 3.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
3116times

Every number was expected about that many times after 97 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 11, 31) with the draw of 20 October 2012 — its closest relative in 97 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 September 2013): 2 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus22≈ 21 by chanceNZ$17,726
  • Match 5676≈ 697 by chanceNZ$600
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,774≈ 1.7k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 427,156≈ 28k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus37,157≈ 37k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 676 winners, 3% fewer than the 697 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus22NZ$17,726
    Match 5676NZ$600
    Match 4 + Bonus1,774NZ$54.00
    Match 427,156NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus37,157NZ$22.00