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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 May 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 19
  5. 29
  6. 39
  7. 37

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 80 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-05-04All recent draws2013-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 18 19 29 39 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

1211times
1611times
1815times
1910times
29

Prize breakdown · 2013-05-11

  • Lines in play≈ 10.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 51k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 64 winnerschance said 2.6

Where the money went

  • Match 632%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$704.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$685K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$762.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 64≈ 2.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

10times
3914times

Every number was expected about that many times after 79 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 18, 29) with the draw of 23 March 2013 — its closest relative in 79 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 May 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$250,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 16 by chanceNZ$25,656
  • Match 5483≈ 514 by chanceNZ$718
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,280≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 422,022≈ 21k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus27,401≈ 27k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 22,022 winners, 7% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 64NZ$250,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$25,656
    Match 5483NZ$718
    Match 4 + Bonus1,280NZ$64.00
    Match 422,022NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus27,401NZ$25.00