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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 May 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 24
  3. 26
  4. 27
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 79 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-04-27All recent draws2013-05-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 24 26 27 38 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 May 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd21th
  • low5th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

1516times
2413times
2611times
2713times
38

Prize breakdown · 2013-05-04

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 39k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 637%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$573.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$544.5K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$613.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
4013times

Every number was expected about that many times after 78 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (15, 40) with the draw of 20 April 2013 — its closest relative in 78 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 April 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus7≈ 12 by chanceNZ$38,325
  • Match 5373≈ 408 by chanceNZ$748
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,024≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 415,932≈ 16k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,780≈ 22k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 15,932 winners, 2% fewer than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus7NZ$38,325
    Match 5373NZ$748
    Match 4 + Bonus1,024NZ$65.00
    Match 415,932NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,780NZ$25.00