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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 March 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 32
  7. 25

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 73 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-03-16All recent draws2013-03-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 16 18 29 30 32 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

113times
168times
1813times
297times
30

Prize breakdown · 2013-03-23

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 204lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$577.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$554K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$627.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
328times

Every number was expected about that many times after 72 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 18, 32) with the draw of 17 November 2012 — its closest relative in 72 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 March 2013): 16 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$21,106
  • Match 5429≈ 433 by chanceNZ$665
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,047≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$65.00
  • Match 416,492≈ 17k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,083≈ 23k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,492 winners, 5% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$21,106
    Match 5429NZ$665
    Match 4 + Bonus1,047NZ$65.00
    Match 416,492NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,083NZ$24.00