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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 March 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 15
  5. 16
  6. 26
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 72 of 1,357 under them

← 2013-03-09All recent draws2013-03-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 13 15 16 26 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 March 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

310times
119times
1319times
1514times
16

Prize breakdown · 2013-03-16

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 203lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.8

Where the money went

  • Match 634%NZ$1M
  • Match 422%NZ$628.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$597.5K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$679K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

7times
269times

Every number was expected about that many times after 71 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (11, 13, 15, 16) with the draw of 21 April 2012 — its closest relative in 71 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 15% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 March 2013): 11 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 17 by chanceNZ$15,630
  • Match 5569≈ 560 by chanceNZ$543
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,462≈ 1.4k by chanceNZ$50.00
  • Match 421,679≈ 22k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus29,873≈ 30k by chanceNZ$20.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,462 winners, 4% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$15,630
    Match 5569NZ$543
    Match 4 + Bonus1,462NZ$50.00
    Match 421,679NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus29,873NZ$20.00