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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 March 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 18
  5. 33
  6. 37
  7. 13

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 70 of 1,356 under them

← 2013-02-23All recent draws2013-03-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 12 18 33 37 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum44th
  • odd50th
  • low79th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

814times
117times
1210times
1812times
33

Prize breakdown · 2013-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 9.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.8Mto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.4

Where the money went

  • Match 653%NZ$2.0M
  • Match 415%NZ$585.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus15%NZ$584.8K
  • 3 other tiers17%NZ$636.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
372times

Every number was expected about that many times after 69 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (11, 18, 33) with the draw of 17 March 2012 — its closest relative in 69 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 February 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,547
  • Match 5511≈ 477 by chanceNZ$566
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,081≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 418,870≈ 19k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus25,426≈ 25k by chanceNZ$23.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,081 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$18,547
    Match 5511NZ$566
    Match 4 + Bonus1,081NZ$64.00
    Match 418,870NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus25,426NZ$23.00