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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 February 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 21
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 30

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 69 of 1,356 under them

← 2013-02-16All recent draws2013-03-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 21 28 29 38 40 + 3029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

1318times
2115times
284times
296times
38

Prize breakdown · 2013-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 7.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 199lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$281.2K
  • Match 433%NZ$583.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$565.3K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$337.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
4010times

Every number was expected about that many times after 68 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 29, 38) with the draw of 4 August 2012 — its closest relative in 68 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 February 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus19≈ 12 by chanceNZ$14,238
  • Match 5416≈ 408 by chanceNZ$676
  • Match 4 + Bonus951≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$70.00
  • Match 416,666≈ 16k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,742≈ 22k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 951 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus19NZ$14,238
    Match 5416NZ$676
    Match 4 + Bonus951NZ$70.00
    Match 416,666NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,742NZ$26.00