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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 August 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 27
  6. 35
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 42 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-08-11All recent draws2012-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 21 23 27 35 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd95th
  • low21th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

107times
1313times
219times
235times
27

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-18

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.1Mto 58k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 210lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 632%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$697.2K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$670.5K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$760.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
358times

Every number was expected about that many times after 41 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 23, 27) with the draw of 14 April 2012 — its closest relative in 41 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus22≈ 19 by chanceNZ$15,120
  • Match 5593≈ 629 by chanceNZ$583
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,514≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 422,489≈ 25k by chanceNZ$31.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus33,524≈ 34k by chanceNZ$20.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 22,489 winners, 11% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus22NZ$15,120
    Match 5593NZ$583
    Match 4 + Bonus1,514NZ$54.00
    Match 422,489NZ$31.00
    Match 3 + Bonus33,524NZ$20.00