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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 May 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 28
  3. 31
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 33

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 27 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-04-28All recent draws2012-05-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 28 31 34 35 38 + 3329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd50th
  • low5th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

76times
280times
315times
344times
35

Prize breakdown · 2012-05-05

  • Lines in play≈ 8.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.8Mto 43k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 208lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$294.1K
  • Match 433%NZ$594.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$584.5K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$353.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
384times

Every number was expected about that many times after 26 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (31, 35, 38) with the draw of 5 November 2011 — its closest relative in 26 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 April 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 14 by chanceNZ$18,862
  • Match 5422≈ 457 by chanceNZ$697
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,210≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 416,526≈ 18k by chanceNZ$36.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,355≈ 24k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,526 winners, 10% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$18,862
    Match 5422NZ$697
    Match 4 + Bonus1,210NZ$58.00
    Match 416,526NZ$36.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,355NZ$24.00