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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 April 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 12
  4. 13
  5. 20
  6. 24
  7. 22

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 26 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-04-21All recent draws2012-05-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 12 13 20 24 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 April 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

13times
45times
122times
138times
20

Prize breakdown · 2012-04-28

  • Lines in play≈ 9.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 49k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 198lines took a prize
  • Match 63 winnerschance said 2.5

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$598.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$588.3K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$651.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 63≈ 2.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
243times

Every number was expected about that many times after 25 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 4, 13, 20) with the draw of 21 January 2012 — its closest relative in 25 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 5.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 April 2012): 12, 13 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$333,333
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 15 by chanceNZ$19,004
  • Match 5480≈ 501 by chanceNZ$617
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,138≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$62.00
  • Match 420,634≈ 20k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus26,740≈ 27k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,138 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 63NZ$333,333
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$19,004
    Match 5480NZ$617
    Match 4 + Bonus1,138NZ$62.00
    Match 420,634NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus26,740NZ$22.00