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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 March 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 24
  5. 35
  6. 39
  7. 38

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 19 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-03-03All recent draws2012-03-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 15 24 35 39 + 3829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

85times
110times
153times
240times
35

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-10

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.3Mto 52k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 197lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 423%NZ$769.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$730.8K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$818.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

3times
392times

Every number was expected about that many times after 18 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (8, 39) with the draw of 3 March 2012 — its closest relative in 18 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 March 2012): 8, 39 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus14≈ 16 by chanceNZ$25,538
  • Match 5577≈ 527 by chanceNZ$644
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,236≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$72.00
  • Match 421,974≈ 21k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,108≈ 28k by chanceNZ$26.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 577 winners, 9% more than the 527 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus14NZ$25,538
    Match 5577NZ$644
    Match 4 + Bonus1,236NZ$72.00
    Match 421,974NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,108NZ$26.00