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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 3 March 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 23
  4. 31
  5. 39
  6. 40
  7. 2

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 18 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-02-25All recent draws2012-03-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 23 31 39 40 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

33times
84times
233times
313times
39

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-03

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 53k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 195lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$717.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$705.2K
  • 3 other tiers24%NZ$781.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
404times

Every number was expected about that many times after 17 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 31, 40) with the draw of 17 December 2011 — its closest relative in 17 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 February 2012): 3, 40 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus15≈ 16 by chanceNZ$22,759
  • Match 5531≈ 529 by chanceNZ$668
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,326≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 422,421≈ 21k by chanceNZ$32.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,208≈ 28k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 22,421 winners, 6% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus15NZ$22,759
    Match 5531NZ$668
    Match 4 + Bonus1,326NZ$64.00
    Match 422,421NZ$32.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,208NZ$25.00