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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lotto Plus 2 under the 6/47 + 1/47 · since Sep 2024 rules — 213 draws, 6 from 1–47.
Drawn 17 times in 213 draws against 27.2 expected, −2.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 17 times in 213 draws · average wait 12.9 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 46 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 1 | 3rd | 32122253040 |
| 2026-09-30 | 3 | 4th | 41118223745 |
| 2026-09-19 | 7 | 2nd | 12225263138 |
| 2026-08-26 | 4 | 3rd | 42022373840 |
| 2026-08-12 | 7 | 2nd | 192227374043 |
| 2026-07-18 | 37 | 3rd | 112122233746 |
| 2026-03-11 | 17 | 3rd | 62022293032 |
| 2026-01-10 | 28 | 4th | 51314222840 |
| 2025-10-01 | 4 | 5th | 156212233 |
| 2025-09-17 | 11 | 5th | 21216172228 |
| 2025-08-09 | 23 | 3rd | 111322252932 |
| 2025-05-21 | 11 | 3rd | 61522234044 |
| 2025-04-12 | 10 | 1st | 223235363742 |
| 2025-03-08 | 17 | 4th | 71415223246 |
| 2025-01-08 | 11 | 2nd | 42228303145 |
| 2024-11-30 | 16 | 2nd | 62231374143 |
| 2024-10-05 | — | 4th | 91118223438 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/47 tonight whatever it did last week.