In Lotto Plus 1 under the 6/47 + 1/47 · since Sep 2024 rules — 213 draws, 6 from 1–47.
23times drawn · chance expected 27 −0.86σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 51% for any number
8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8
27longest completed wait · 47% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 23 times in 213 draws against 27.2 expected, −0.86σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 5 times, counted separately.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 23 times in 213 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 46 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/47 tonight whatever it did last week.