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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 August 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 25
  2. 31
  3. 32
  4. 41
  5. 43
  6. 46
  7. 45

Jackpot€9,761,572

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015draw 611 of 1,154 under them

← 2021-08-07All recent draws2021-08-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed25 31 32 41 43 46 + 4529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd77th
  • low0th
  • widest gap10th
  • neighbours69th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each

2567times
3184times
3265times
4170times
43

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 737kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€353.9Kto 25k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball15%€51.8K
  • Match 414%€50.6K
  • Match 342%€149.2K
  • 4 other tiers29%€102.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
4672times

Every number was expected about that many times after 610 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (31, 32, 43, 46) with the draw of 24 June 2017 — its closest relative in 610 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2021): 41, 46 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

218

The numbers add up to 218 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 62% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€9,761,572
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.41 by chance€51,759
  • Match 519≈ 16 by chance€1,633
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 41 by chance€200
  • Match 4778≈ 803 by chance€65.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,045≈ 1.1k by chance€32.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,036≈ 10k by chance€3.00
  • Match 313,560≈ 14k by chance€11.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈737k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 778 winners, 3% fewer than the 803 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,036€3.00
    Match 313,560€11.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,045€32.00
    Match 4778€65.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39€200
    Match 519€1,633
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1€51,759
    Match 60€9,761,572