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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 27 February 2021

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 29
  3. 34
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 43
  7. 14

Jackpot€5,623,682

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015draw 564 of 1,154 under them

← 2021-02-24All recent draws2021-03-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 29 34 38 40 43 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap47th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 72 of each

1581times
2985times
3478times
3879times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-27

  • Lines in play≈ 993kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€398.5Kto 35k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 28lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 416%€63.5K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11%€42.8K
  • Match 350%€201K
  • 3 other tiers23%€91.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
4357times

Every number was expected about that many times after 563 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 38, 40) with the draw of 16 December 2020 — its closest relative in 563 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2021): 38, 40 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

199

The numbers add up to 199 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. No two numbers side by side. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 61% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,623,682
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.55 by chance€65,286
  • Match 510≈ 22 by chance€3,915
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball57≈ 55 by chance€173
  • Match 41,134≈ 1.1k by chance€56.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,455≈ 1.4k by chance€29.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,256≈ 14k by chance€3.00
  • Match 318,273≈ 18k by chance€11.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈993k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,134 winners, 5% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,256€3.00
    Match 318,273€11.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,455€29.00
    Match 41,134€56.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball57€173
    Match 510€3,915
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€65,286
    Match 60€5,623,682