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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 December 2017

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 21
  3. 33
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 40
  7. 8

Jackpot€4,389,124

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015draw 230 of 1,151 under them

← 2017-12-13All recent draws2017-12-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 21 33 37 38 40 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours69th
  • spread71th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

132times
2122times
3319times
3726times
3829times
4031times

Every number was expected about that many times after 229 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 21, 38, 40) with the draw of 10 October 2015 — its closest relative in 229 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2017): 38, 40 carried over. Chance says 58% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 144. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 51% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2017-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 978kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€376.6Kto 36k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 27lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 416%€61.9K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12%€45.3K
  • Match 348%€180.0K
  • 3 other tiers24%€89.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.09 by chance€4,389,124
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.55 by chance€502,111
  3. Match 518≈ 22 by chance€2,118
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball53≈ 55 by chance€181
  5. Match 41,031≈ 1.1k by chance€60.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,489≈ 1.4k by chance€28.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,086≈ 14k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 318,004≈ 18k by chance€10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈978k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 15,086 winners, 12% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,086€3.00
Match 318,004€10.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,489€28.00
Match 41,031€60.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball53€181
Match 518€2,118
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€502,111
Match 60€4,389,124

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