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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 8 October 2014

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 30
  3. 31
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 26

Jackpot€4,326,024

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 498 of 601 under them

← 2014-10-04All recent draws2014-10-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 30 31 38 40 41 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 497 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

283times
3063times
3160times
3879times
4068times
4167times

Every number was expected about that many times after 497 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 30, 41) with the draw of 24 May 2014 — its closest relative in 497 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2014): 41 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31, 40–41. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 934kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€281.1Kto 22k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 427%€74.5K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball17%€49.1K
  • Match 334%€96.7K
  • 2 other tiers22%€60.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.11 by chance€4,326,024
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.69 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 521≈ 26 by chance€2,310
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball54≈ 65 by chance€225
  5. Match 41,183≈ 1.2k by chance€63.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,585≈ 1.6k by chance€31.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 15k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 319,348≈ 19k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈934k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 319,348€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,585€31.00
Match 41,183€63.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball54€225
Match 521€2,310
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€25,000
Match 60€4,326,024