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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 23 January 2013

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 20
  4. 21
  5. 27
  6. 39
  7. 41

Jackpot€8,898,732

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 320 of 601 under them

← 2013-01-19All recent draws2013-01-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 20 21 27 39 + 4129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 319 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

1046times
1257times
2036times
2140times
2741times
3940times

Every number was expected about that many times after 319 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 12, 27) with the draw of 14 December 2011 — its closest relative in 319 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 January 2013): 10 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-01-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€503.8Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 43lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 424%€120.5K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball16%€80.9K
  • Match 341%€204.9K
  • 2 other tiers19%€97.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.24 by chance€8,898,732
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 1.5 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 553≈ 55 by chance€1,471
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball124≈ 138 by chance€158
  5. Match 42,510≈ 2.6k by chance€48.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,695≈ 3.4k by chance€30.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 31k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 340,985≈ 41k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 340,985€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,695€30.00
Match 42,510€48.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball124€158
Match 553€1,471
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€25,000
Match 60€8,898,732