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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 1 December 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 17
  4. 40
  5. 42
  6. 43
  7. 41

Jackpot€2,577,153

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 305 of 601 under them

← 2012-11-28All recent draws2012-12-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 17 40 42 43 + 4129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 304 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each

255times
1152times
1731times
4049times
4242times
4330times

Every number was expected about that many times after 304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 11, 43) with the draw of 28 November 2012 — its closest relative in 304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 November 2012): 2, 11, 43 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€430.3Kto 34k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 424%€104K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball16%€68K
  • Match 335%€149.2K
  • 3 other tiers25%€109.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.18 by chance€2,577,153
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.1 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 541≈ 40 by chance€1,641
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball95≈ 101 by chance€178
  5. Match 41,733≈ 1.9k by chance€60.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,519≈ 2.5k by chance€27.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 22k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 329,830≈ 30k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 329,830€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,519€27.00
Match 41,733€60.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball95€178
Match 541€1,641
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1€25,000
Match 60€2,577,153