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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 16
  3. 20
  4. 22
  5. 31
  6. 43
  7. 24

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 296 of 601 under them

← 2012-10-27All recent draws2012-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 16 20 22 31 43 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 295 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each

1427times
1626times
2033times
2241times
3131times
4328times

Every number was expected about that many times after 295 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 16, 22) with the draw of 10 March 2012 — its closest relative in 295 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 25% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 986kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€288.2Kto 24k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 426%€74.5K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball18%€50.8K
  • Match 335%€102.2K
  • 2 other tiers21%€60.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.12 by chance€2,000,000
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.73 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 519≈ 28 by chance€2,560
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball75≈ 69 by chance€163
  5. Match 41,241≈ 1.3k by chance€60.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,750≈ 1.7k by chance€29.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 15k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 320,430≈ 20k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈986k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 320,430€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,750€29.00
Match 41,241€60.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball75€163
Match 519€2,560
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0€25,000
Match 60€2,000,000