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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
Jackpot€10,030,769
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 180 of 601 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 179 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 179 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 16, 22) with the draw of 28 May 2011 — its closest relative in 179 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 September 2011): 16 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 33k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | €3.00 |
| Match 3 | 44,236 | €5.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 3,012 | €30.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,799 | €48.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 124 | €176 |
| Match 5 | 54 | €1,611 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €25,000 |
| Match 6 | 0 | €10,030,769 |