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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 27 April 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 30
  4. 41
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 37

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 138 of 601 under them

← 2011-04-23All recent draws2011-04-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 30 41 44 45 + 3729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 137 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

516times
1819times
3019times
4121times
4421times
4518times

Every number was expected about that many times after 137 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 30, 41) with the draw of 13 January 2010 — its closest relative in 137 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 April 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 93th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-04-27

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€367.7Kto 26k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 425%€91.8K
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball16%€60.3K
  • Match 332%€116.4K
  • 3 other tiers27%€99.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.14 by chance€2,000,000
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.83 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 527≈ 31 by chance€2,198
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball80≈ 79 by chance€186
  5. Match 41,370≈ 1.5k by chance€67.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,722≈ 1.9k by chance€35.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 17k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 323,285≈ 23k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 323,285€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,722€35.00
Match 41,370€67.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball80€186
Match 527€2,198
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1€25,000
Match 60€2,000,000