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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 February 2011

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 26
  5. 38
  6. 43
  7. 15

Jackpot€2,766,486

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 117 of 601 under them

← 2011-02-09All recent draws2011-02-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 16 26 38 43 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 116 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread51th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

917times
1017times
169times
2615times
3822times
439times

Every number was expected about that many times after 116 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 10, 43) with the draw of 1 January 2011 — its closest relative in 116 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 February 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-02-12

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€793.4Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 42lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball32%€250K
  • Match 417%€137.8K
  • Match 325%€201.8K
  • 3 other tiers26%€203.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.24 by chance€2,766,486
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 1.4 by chance€125,000
  3. Match 551≈ 55 by chance€1,753
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball115≈ 136 by chance€194
  5. Match 42,461≈ 2.5k by chance€56.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,288≈ 3.4k by chance€28.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 30k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 340,369≈ 40k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 30k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 340,369€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,288€28.00
Match 42,461€56.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball115€194
Match 551€1,753
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2€125,000
Match 60€2,766,486