In Euro Millions Plus under the 5/50 · since Sep 2024 rules — 211 draws, 5 from 1–50.
16times drawn · chance expected 21 −1.17σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number
13.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
51longest completed wait · 7% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 16 times in 211 draws against 21.1 expected, −1.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 16 times in 211 draws · average wait 13.7 draws · longest completed wait 51 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.