In EuroDreams under the 6/40 + 1/5 · since Nov 2023 rules — 313 draws, 1 from 1–5.
69times drawn · chance expected 63 +0.90σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
4.4average wait between appearances · chance says 5.0
18longest completed wait · 79% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 69 times in 313 draws against 62.6 expected, +0.90σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 69 times in 313 draws · average wait 4.4 draws · longest completed wait 18 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 4 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 5. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/5 tonight whatever it did last week.