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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 19 August 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 11
  4. 12
  5. 24
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 3,032 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-08-18All recent draws2026-08-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 11 12 24 + 613 Oct 2026, 20:42 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 389 of each

2385times
3395times
11406times
12357times
24

Prize breakdown · 2026-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£532.0Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£115.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£156.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£103.9K
  • 5 other tiers29%£156.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

403times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 217 of each

6198times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,031 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 11, 12, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 August 2024 — its closest relative in 3,031 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2026): 3 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

52

The numbers add up to 52 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3, 11–12. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 21 by chance£250
  • Match 4366≈ 275 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball858≈ 698 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,100≈ 7.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,548≈ 9.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,222≈ 29k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34,625≈ 35k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,548 winners, 27% more than the 9.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34,625£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,222£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,100£10.00
    Match 311,548£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball858£20.00
    Match 4366£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000