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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 14 July 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 25
  5. 36
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 38% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 3,011 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-07-11All recent draws2026-07-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 15 24 25 36 + 710 Oct 2026, 20:47 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum52th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 386 of each

1381times
15397times
24399times
25365times
36

Prize breakdown · 2026-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£512.1Kto 97k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16%£82.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£171.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%£137.0K
  • 5 other tiers24%£121.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

365times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 215 of each

7224times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,010 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 15, 24, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 April 2025 — its closest relative in 3,010 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4230≈ 363 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball719≈ 921 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,237≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 37,466≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34,278≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,678≈ 46k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,466 winners, 38% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,678£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34,278£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,237£10.00
    Match 37,466£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball719£20.00
    Match 4230£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000