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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 1 July 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 3,004 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-06-30All recent draws2026-07-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 11 19 28 31 + 310 Oct 2026, 20:47 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 385 of each

3390times
11400times
19391times
28392times
31

Prize breakdown · 2026-07-01

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball46%£500.0K
  • Match 311%£125.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%£167.9K
  • 6 other tiers28%£304.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

401times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 215 of each

3246times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,003 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 19, 28, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 July 2023 — its closest relative in 3,003 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2026): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 21 by chance£250
  • Match 4515≈ 278 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,186≈ 706 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,948≈ 7.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,589≈ 9.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,575≈ 29k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,039≈ 35k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,186 winners, 68% more than the 706 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,039£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,575£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,948£10.00
    Match 312,589£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,186£20.00
    Match 4515£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000