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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 5 May 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 21
  4. 33
  5. 37
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,971 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-05-02All recent draws2026-05-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 21 33 37 + 914 Oct 2026, 21:45 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 May 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd89th
  • low31th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 381 of each

1375times
2376times
21391times
33381times
37

Prize breakdown · 2026-05-05

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£438.6Kto 83k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 316%£69.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34%£149.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£115.7K
  • 4 other tiers24%£103.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

349times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 212 of each

9181times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,970 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 33, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 August 2025 — its closest relative in 2,970 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 May 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4193≈ 306 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball538≈ 777 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,947≈ 8.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 36,976≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29,937≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,558≈ 39k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,976 winners, 31% fewer than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,558£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29,937£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,947£10.00
    Match 36,976£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball538£20.00
    Match 4193£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000