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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 14 February 2026 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2026-02-13 All recent draws 2026-02-17 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 14 20 22 31 39 + 5 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2026-02-14 Lines in play ≈ 2.0M as the winner counts imply Paid out £831.3K to 154k winning lines Won something 1 in 13 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.25 Where the money went
Match 3 17% £137.8K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 33% £275.6K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 25% £209.9K 5 other tiers 25% £208.1K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.25 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
364times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 209 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,925 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 1≈ 3.3 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 21≈ 43 by chance £250
Match 4 399≈ 556 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,210≈ 1.4k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 13,371≈ 15k by chance £10.00
Match 3 13,775≈ 18k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 55,115≈ 58k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 69,974≈ 70k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 399 winners, 28% fewer than the 556 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.