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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 3 February 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 26
  5. 30
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,919 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-01-31All recent draws2026-02-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 20 26 30 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 February 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd9th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 374 of each

2368times
15385times
20374times
26398times
30

Prize breakdown · 2026-02-03

  • Lines in play≈ 944kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£457.9Kto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£102.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£134.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£97.7K
  • 4 other tiers27%£123.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

408times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 208 of each

14216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,918 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 15, 20, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 December 2025 — its closest relative in 2,918 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 January 2026): 2 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 20 by chance£250
  • Match 4331≈ 259 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball695≈ 657 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,002≈ 7.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,258≈ 8.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,819≈ 27k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32,580≈ 33k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈944k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,258 winners, 20% more than the 8.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32,580£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,819£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,002£10.00
    Match 310,258£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball695£20.00
    Match 4331£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000