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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 23 December 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 20
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 35
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,895 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-12-20All recent draws2025-12-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed20 21 24 26 35 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 371 of each

20371times
21383times
24378times
26394times
35

Prize breakdown · 2025-12-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£500.6Kto 91k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£91.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£164.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£121.2K
  • 4 other tiers25%£123.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

343times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 207 of each

13231times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,894 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (20, 21, 26, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 August 2015 — its closest relative in 2,894 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 December 2025): 24, 35 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 13 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4249≈ 321 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball709≈ 814 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,992≈ 8.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,144≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,984≈ 34k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,398≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,144 winners, 14% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40,398£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,984£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,992£10.00
    Match 39,144£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball709£20.00
    Match 4249£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000