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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 13 September 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 14
  4. 20
  5. 26
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,838 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-09-12All recent draws2025-09-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 14 20 26 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 364 of each

1357times
3368times
14333times
20361times
26

Prize breakdown · 2025-09-13

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£861.1Kto 149k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£164.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£265.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£191.2K
  • 5 other tiers28%£239.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

378times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

6182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,837 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 3, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 November 2024 — its closest relative in 2,837 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

64

The numbers add up to 64 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43≈ 39 by chance£250
  • Match 4456≈ 506 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,213≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,875≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,492≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,124≈ 53k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball63,746≈ 64k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 456 winners, 10% fewer than the 506 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball63,746£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,124£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,875£10.00
    Match 316,492£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,213£20.00
    Match 4456£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball43£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000