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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 30 July 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 7
  3. 13
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,812 of 3,063 under them

← 2025-07-29All recent draws2025-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 7 13 21 31 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 360 of each

6371times
7368times
13366times
21370times
31

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£565.1Kto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£129.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball28%£159.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£113.0K
  • 5 other tiers29%£162.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

374times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

14212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,811 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 21, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 May 2025 — its closest relative in 2,811 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2025): 21 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4398≈ 299 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball798≈ 759 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,556≈ 8.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,988≈ 9.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,929≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,654≈ 38k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,988 winners, 32% more than the 9.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,654£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,929£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,556£10.00
    Match 312,988£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball798£20.00
    Match 4398£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000