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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 26 July 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 28
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,810 of 3,063 under them

← 2025-07-25All recent draws2025-07-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 28 38 39 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap96th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 360 of each

2354times
5349times
28370times
38355times
39

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£784.9Kto 144k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£139.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£246.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£202.5K
  • 5 other tiers25%£196.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

347times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 201 of each

3227times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,809 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 5, 38, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 April 2017 — its closest relative in 2,809 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 July 2025): 39 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 41 by chance£250
  • Match 4383≈ 536 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball966≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,352≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,952≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball49,344≈ 56k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball67,498≈ 67k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 966 winners, 29% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball67,498£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball49,344£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,352£10.00
    Match 313,952£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball966£20.00
    Match 4383£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000