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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 15 March 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 14
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 34
  5. 36
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,734 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-03-14All recent draws2025-03-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed14 15 17 34 36 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 350 of each

14324times
15359times
17341times
34362times
36

Prize breakdown · 2025-03-15

  • Lines in play≈ 1.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£752.0Kto 134k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£140.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£241.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£172.5K
  • 5 other tiers26%£197.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

332times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 195 of each

14201times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,733 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 15, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 February 2025 — its closest relative in 2,733 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 March 2025): 15, 17 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28≈ 35 by chance£250
  • Match 4411≈ 457 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,117≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,213≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,019≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball48,354≈ 48k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball57,492≈ 57k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,019 winners, 7% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball57,492£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball48,354£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,213£10.00
    Match 314,019£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,117£20.00
    Match 4411£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000