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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 8 February 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 23
  4. 28
  5. 34
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,714 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-02-07All recent draws2025-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 23 28 34 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 348 of each

5341times
8335times
23336times
28354times
34

Prize breakdown · 2025-02-08

  • Lines in play≈ 1.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£846.9Kto 141k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£186.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£247.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£174.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%£238.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

360times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

12191times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,713 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 8, 28, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 August 2018 — its closest relative in 2,713 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 36 by chance£250
  • Match 4586≈ 462 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,250≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,027≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 318,617≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball49,531≈ 48k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58,162≈ 58k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,617 winners, 22% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58,162£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball49,531£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,027£10.00
    Match 318,617£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,250£20.00
    Match 4586£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000