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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 25 January 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 27
  5. 33
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,706 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-01-24All recent draws2025-01-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 11 19 27 33 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd99th
  • low64th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread76th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 347 of each

1342times
11351times
19354times
27345times
33

Prize breakdown · 2025-01-25

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£901.1Kto 149k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£195.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£262.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£182.6K
  • 5 other tiers29%£260.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

348times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 193 of each

6175times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,705 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 19, 27, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 August 2024 — its closest relative in 2,705 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 January 2025): 33 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball44≈ 37 by chance£250
  • Match 4663≈ 483 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,408≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,014≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 319,547≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,481≈ 51k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball60,864≈ 61k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,547 winners, 23% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball60,864£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,481£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,014£10.00
    Match 319,547£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,408£20.00
    Match 4663£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball44£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000