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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 3 January 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 31
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,693 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-01-01All recent draws2025-01-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 31 35 39 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd89th
  • low31th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 345 of each

1339times
2340times
31360times
35317times
39

Prize breakdown · 2025-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£998.6Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball50%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball17%£167.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball13%£129.5K
  • 5 other tiers20%£201.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

333times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

13215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,692 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 31, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,692 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21≈ 26 by chance£250
  • Match 4225≈ 343 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball665≈ 870 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,919≈ 9.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 38,129≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,516≈ 36k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43,161≈ 43k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,129 winners, 28% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43,161£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,516£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,919£10.00
    Match 38,129£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball665£20.00
    Match 4225£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000