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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 3 December 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 13
  3. 22
  4. 32
  5. 38
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,675 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-11-30All recent draws2024-12-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 13 22 32 38 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 343 of each

2339times
13341times
22358times
32362times
38

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-03

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£476.5Kto 87k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£83.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£153.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%£119.5K
  • 4 other tiers25%£119.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

338times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

9165times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,674 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 22, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,674 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 November 2024): 13 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4274≈ 316 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball666≈ 803 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,448≈ 8.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 38,380≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,740≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,840≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,380 winners, 20% fewer than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,840£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,740£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,448£10.00
    Match 38,380£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball666£20.00
    Match 4274£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000