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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 23 November 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 17
  3. 27
  4. 37
  5. 39
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,670 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-11-22All recent draws2024-11-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 17 27 37 39 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd99th
  • low31th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 342 of each

5336times
17328times
27339times
37311times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£824.6Kto 143k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£162.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£248.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£188.0K
  • 5 other tiers27%£225.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

329times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 191 of each

13209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,669 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 37, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 October 2024 — its closest relative in 2,669 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 November 2024): 17 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball46≈ 38 by chance£250
  • Match 4551≈ 498 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,252≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,358≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,273≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball49,742≈ 52k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball62,662≈ 63k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 12,358 winners, 8% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball62,662£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball49,742£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,358£10.00
    Match 316,273£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,252£20.00
    Match 4551£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball46£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000