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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 26 July 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 15
  4. 22
  5. 25
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,601 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-07-24All recent draws2024-07-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 15 22 25 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 333 of each

2331times
3323times
15343times
22344times
25

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-26

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£713.1Kto 125k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18%£126.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£226.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£160.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%£199.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

324times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 186 of each

7194times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,600 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 3, 15, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 May 2021 — its closest relative in 2,600 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 July 2024): 3 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

67

The numbers add up to 67 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 33 by chance£250
  • Match 4357≈ 425 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,197≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,656≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,500≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,327≈ 45k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball53,515≈ 54k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,500 winners, 18% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball53,515£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,327£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,656£10.00
    Match 311,500£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,197£20.00
    Match 4357£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000