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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 10 July 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 14
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 37
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 30% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,592 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-07-09All recent draws2024-07-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 14 26 30 37 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 332 of each

7350times
14306times
26349times
30367times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£699.2Kto 127k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19%£135.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35%£242.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£161.8K
  • 4 other tiers23%£159.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

304times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

7192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,591 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 14, 26, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 July 2022 — its closest relative in 2,591 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.5 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 33 by chance£250
  • Match 4295≈ 428 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,218≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,579≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,823≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball48,409≈ 45k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball53,919≈ 54k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,823 winners, 30% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball53,919£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball48,409£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,579£10.00
    Match 39,823£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,218£20.00
    Match 4295£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000