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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 6 July 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 13
  4. 14
  5. 35
  6. 6

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,590 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-07-05All recent draws2024-07-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 13 14 35 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 332 of each

7349times
8322times
13325times
14305times
35

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-06

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£799.0Kto 143k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£153.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£259.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£187.1K
  • 5 other tiers25%£199.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

309times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 185 of each

6168times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,589 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 13, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 July 2023 — its closest relative in 2,589 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 July 2024): 13 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

77

The numbers add up to 77 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 13–14. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball36≈ 38 by chance£250
  • Match 4396≈ 495 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,055≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,457≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,372≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball51,793≈ 52k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball62,350≈ 62k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,055 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball62,350£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball51,793£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,457£10.00
    Match 315,372£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,055£20.00
    Match 4396£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball36£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000