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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 18 June 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 34
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,579 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-06-15All recent draws2024-06-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 12 15 34 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 June 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum13th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 331 of each

3316times
9308times
12305times
15339times
34

Prize breakdown · 2024-06-18

  • Lines in play≈ 974kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£516.0Kto 84k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£96.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£154.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£100.8K
  • 5 other tiers32%£165.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

346times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 184 of each

3210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,578 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 9, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 March 2024 — its closest relative in 2,578 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 June 2024): 12 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

73

The numbers add up to 73 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34≈ 21 by chance£250
  • Match 4348≈ 267 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball915≈ 678 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,837≈ 7.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,610≈ 8.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,813≈ 28k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball33,614≈ 34k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈974k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 915 winners, 35% more than the 678 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball33,614£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,813£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,837£10.00
    Match 39,610£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball915£20.00
    Match 4348£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000