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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 22 May 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 12
  3. 25
  4. 36
  5. 37
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,564 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-05-21All recent draws2024-05-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 12 25 36 37 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 329 of each

3312times
12302times
25318times
36306times
37

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£551.4Kto 103k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 14lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£92.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£180.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£143.6K
  • 5 other tiers24%£134.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

301times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 183 of each

9160times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,563 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 25, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 July 2023 — its closest relative in 2,563 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

113

The numbers add up to 113 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 36–37. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4250≈ 380 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball766≈ 965 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,315≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,218≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,170≈ 40k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47,867≈ 48k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,218 winners, 27% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47,867£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,170£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,315£10.00
    Match 39,218£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball766£20.00
    Match 4250£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000