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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 3 May 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 18
  5. 32
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,553 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-05-01All recent draws2024-05-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 11 18 32 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 May 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 327 of each

3310times
7345times
11331times
18351times
32

Prize breakdown · 2024-05-03

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£760.2Kto 125k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19%£146.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£234.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£143.0K
  • 5 other tiers31%£236.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

346times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 182 of each

7189times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,552 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2024 — its closest relative in 2,552 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 May 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

71

The numbers add up to 71 — the 11th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4431≈ 379 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,773≈ 961 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,627≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,488≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball46,942≈ 40k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47,674≈ 48k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,773 winners, 84% more than the 961 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47,674£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball46,942£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,627£10.00
    Match 313,488£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,773£20.00
    Match 4431£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000